Foodservice Coffee Market Size, Share & Industry Analysis, By Type (Take Away/ Delivery and Dine-In), End-User (Coffee Shops/Chains, Bakery Shops, and Others), and Regional Forecast, 2024-2032

The global foodservice coffee market size was valued at USD 458.77 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow from USD 485.89 billion in 2024 to USD 748.14 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.20% during the forecast period. Europe dominated the foodservice coffee market with a market share of 36.69% in 2023. Moreover, the foodservice coffee market size in the U.S. is projected to grow significantly, reaching an estimated value of USD 154.01 billion in 2032, driven by the emergence of premium stores, frequent visits to the local delis or cafes, increasing demand for non-alcoholic drinks, and an increasing number of consumers switching to specialty coffee.

The market is segmented by type into takeaway/ delivery and dine-in in the global market and is available in coffee shops/chains, bakery shops, and others. Countries such as the U.S., Germany, China, France, Spain, and others have a significant market share. Furthermore, the rising inclination towards out-of-the-home coffee consumption has significantly contributed towards the rapid market growth. This is owing to the rapid growth in urban lifestyle in countries in the Asia Pacific and South America region.

The foodservice industry saw significant growth globally post-pandemic. There is a changing consumption pattern among individuals, and premium coffee consumption is becoming a symbol of social status among millennial consumers. The consumption of specialty cold beverages, especially drinks, such as frappes, has become a popular trend among the younger generation.

The foodservice coffee market experienced a significant decline in sales due to the pandemic due to the sudden lockdown and closing of borders that various governments imposed to contain the spread of the virus. Coffee production, import, and export significantly declined due to the declining human resources and government restrictions. The coffee industry has suffered a setback in terms of employment, earnings, exports, and domestic consumption. For instance, the International Coffee Organization report stated that in 2020, the global coffee exports in March accounted for 11.06 million bags which was 3.7% lower than the previous year.

Foodservice Coffee Market Trends

Rising Consumer Inclination toward Plant-Based Coffee Drinks

In recent years, the global plant-based products market has observed a significant growth in terms of demand among consumers. The rising awareness of the poultry industry's negative impact has been a significant factor in the growing demand for vegan products. Furthermore, the manufacturers, including startups and multinational companies, heavily invest in plant-based product innovation. The innovation has made the new generation of plant-based milk made from soy, almond, and other ingredients highly competitive with dairy regarding taste, price, and accessibility.

Foodservice coffee companies are launching new coffee drinks induced with plant-based milk to cater to the changing consumer preferences across various regions. For instance, in January 2023, Starbucks, one of the leading global coffee chains, announced its partnership with NotCo to provide plant-based milk NotMilk in its stores across Argentina. The partnership with NotCo was established to cater to the changing consumer demand and have a competitive edge in the market.

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Foodservice Coffee Market Growth Factors

Increasing Number of Coffee Shops to Drive Foodservice Coffee Market Growth

There has been a significant increase in coffee shops globally in recent years. The rise in coffee stores can be attributed to the rising demand for different coffee types and increasing competition among coffee operators to expand their presence globally. According to a news release, Starbucks had opened 34,317 new stores worldwide by January 2022.

The growing number of shopping malls and suburban retail stores supports the expansion of coffee outlets in developing countries, thereby fueling the away-from-home consumption of coffee. For instance, in February 2023, Third Wave Coffee (TWC) announced the opening of its 91st store in Oberoi Mall in Mumbai, India. The profitability of coffee shops and cafes is majorly driven by consumer taste, income level, and shop location. Moreover, coffee shops are becoming more popular and eminent among urban inhabitants, encouraging vendors to develop their operations to serve industrialized countries' populations.

Increasing Coffee Consumption in Emerging Economies and Strong Interest in Specialty Coffee to Boost the Market Growth

According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) 2022, Indonesia is reported to be the largest consumer of coffee, followed by China and Mexico. Coffee consumption in Indonesia has grown among consumers in recent years due to its convenience, affordability, and ability to provide alertness and relaxation.

Changing consumer lifestyles and growing income in developing countries are the main factors for consumers to purchase food and beverages from outside and thus, to drive the market growth. The increase in the number of working households, frequent family visits to restaurants, or ordering coffee and snacks from outside are the major factors which help increase the café outlet's foot traffic and restaurant revenue, positively contributing to market growth.

RESTRAINING FACTORS

Fluctuations in Coffee Prices to Restrain the Market Growth

In recent years, the rising population across the globe, high food prices, and increasing unemployment have contributed to the rising concern over food security and price volatility related to food ingredients, including coffee beans. Several other factors, such as transportation costs, storage costs, human resources costs, political environments, and various other features, have also led to a rise in the price of final products.

According to the International Coffee Organization Report 2020, the price of Colombian Milds increased by 8.6% in March and 1.8% in April. In contrast, the price of Robusta decreased by 0.9% in March and 5.2% in April.

Coffee prices constantly change and coffee is procured by professionals and vendors interested in benefiting via purchasing and marketing shares on the commodity market. This speculation is expected to drastically affect the coffee price since it artificially fudges demand and supply.

Foodservice Coffee Market Segmentation Analysis

By Type Analysis

Rising Prevalence of Takeaway/Delivery to Fuel the Segment Growth

Based on type, the global market is divided into takeaway/delivery and dine-in. Takeaway is when a consumer orders food by walking into a restaurant but consumes it at home or elsewhere. The dine-in type is when the drink is consumed in a café, coffee house, restaurant, bakery, or others.

The takeaway segment accounts for a major share in the market owing to the rising prevalence of ready-to-drink and fast-service coffee chains. The demand for takeaway has increased post-COVID-19 as the pandemic forced restaurants worldwide to shut down their dine-in service and focus on takeout and delivery. Thus, restaurants have been promoting their offerings with ideas for takeout and delivery.

Frozen baked goods have attracted more consumers in recent years due to their taste and freshness. Frozen bread is expected to gain more traction among the other categories in this segment. These baked products consume less time for preparation and do not require thawing. This segment is expected to grow at a significant CAGR in the upcoming years.

By End-User Analysis

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Rising Number of Coffee Houses and Beverage Shops to Drive the Global Market Expansion

Based on end-user, the market is segmented into coffee house & beverage shops, bakery shops and restaurants, and others.

The coffee house & beverage shops segment is expected to show significant growth over the forecast period. This is owing to rising consumer preference for specialty coffees such as iced coffee, coffee with ice cream, and others offered by the coffee chains. Furthermore, coffee houses and beverage shops are updating their offerings based on the changing consumer demand in different regions including Southeast Asia and Latin America. In addition, the rapid penetration of coffee chains in various regions fuels the demand for specialty coffee among consumers to boost the growth of the global food service coffee market.

REGIONAL INSIGHTS

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Europe to Dominate Market due to Increasing Consumer Purchasing Power

Europe is expected to dominate the global food service coffee market share as the region is a major hub of foodservice institutions. These include restaurants, specialist coffee shops, hotels and resorts, quick-service restaurants, and foodservice outlets at leisure parks, pubs, educational institutes, and hospitals. Changing consumer patterns benefit the demand for specialty coffee drinks and modern retail outlets in the region. More European consumers are willing to pay more for premium coffees. The demand for cold brew coffee with delicious taste and high nutritional value is growing in Europe as more consumers follow this trend.

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North America is expected to show steady growth in the market owing to the increasing number of retail stores, rising acceptance of coffee among youth, and other factors. Coffee consumption in the region has increased to a two-decade high as Americans brew up new post-COVID routines. According to the National Coffee Association, the number of people visiting drive-thrus at their local coffee shops has increased by 8% since 2020. Furthermore, the growing acceptance of coffee in the region is attributed to premium stores such as Starbucks Corporation, Dunkin', Peet's Coffee, and others.

The Asia Pacific market is expected to grow at a substantial rate over the forecast period. This is due to the increasing product demand, especially in China, Japan, and India. The growing popularity of cold brew coffee brands in India has led to an increasing preference for specialty products over conventional products, providing lucrative growth opportunities for the market in the country. In the Asia Pacific region, numerous coffee products are becoming increasingly popular. Coffee-producing countries such as India, Thailand, the Philippines, and Indonesia see an increase in the number of cafés. In addition, Southeast Asia's climate and geographic position make it suitable for coffee cultivation. The region's enhancing coffee culture and expertise in coffee cultivation support the burgeoning coffee business.

Consumed by millions of inhabitants across the globe, coffee is the second-largest traded commodity after petroleum. In South America, coffee contributes to the livelihood of millions of families. Of the top 50 coffee-producing countries across the globe, 19 are located in South America. According to the International Coffee Organization (ICE), Brazil is the top producer of coffee in the global market, followed by Vietnam and Colombia.

The Middle East & Africa region has experienced good economic growth recently. The African continent is home to a few of the fastest-growing economies globally, such as Ethiopia, Rwanda, Ivory Coast, and Tanzania, while the Middle East region includes popular tourist destinations such as the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Egypt. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have become key hubs for the innovation and growth of branded coffee shops owing to the rising tide of premium and specialty operators across the region.

List of Key Companies in Foodservice Coffee Market

Global Expansion and New Product Variations by Market Players to Fuel Market Growth

Starbucks Corporation and Nestle SA is the leading market player, with its coffee chains spread across the globe focused on new product developments based on rapidly changing consumer preferences in different regions. For instance, in February 2023, Starbucks introduced a transformational innovation in coffee, Oleato – a line of coffee beverages.

Other key players in the foodservice coffee market include Costa Coffee, J. M. Smucker, Kraft Heinz Company, Peet’s Coffee, Eight O'clock Coffee, and others. The leading companies in the global market focus on advancement in product development, new outlet launches, geographical expansion, acquisitions, and collaborations for growth.

LIST OF KEY COMPANIES PROFILED:

• Starbucks Corporation (U.S.)


• Costa Limited (U.K.)


• J. M. Smucker (U.S.)


• Kraft Heinz Company (U.S.)


• JDE Peet's (Netherlands)


• Eight O'clock Coffee Company (U.S.)


• Bewley's Tea and Coffee Ltd. (Ireland)


• Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (U.S.)


• Coffee Republic (U.K.)


• Coffee Beanery (U.S.)


• SSP Group (U.K.)


• Ajinomoto Co., Inc. (Japan)


• Dunkin (Inspire Brands) (U.S.)


• Restaurant Brands International (Canada)


• Nestle S.A. (Switzerland)


• Farmer Brothers (U.S.)


• JAB Holding Company (Caribou) (U.S.)


• Pacific Foods (U.S.)


• McDonald’s Corporation (U.S.)


• Seven & I Holdings (7- Eleven) (Japan)


• WaWa (U.S.)

KEY INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS:

• May 2023 – Atlanta Grupa, a Croatian fast-moving consumer goods company, acquired Strauss Group’s coffee business in Serbia to strengthen its core coffee business.


• March 2023 –The Choi Garden Restaurant Company acquired a 35% stake in Malaysian coffee chain ZUS Coffee to launch the technology-focused Malaysian coffee chain in the Philippines to improve its market presence by catering the demand among youths. This is due to the rising demand for technologically advanced coffee chains in several markets among youths who are leading coffee consumers as per demography.


• December 2022 – Costa Coffee, a well-known U.K.-based coffee chain, opened its first drive-thru store in China in the Pudong District of Shanghai owing to the rising consumption of coffee through drive-thru’s post-pandemic. Costa Coffee aimed to increase its revenue with the new advancement in its business model.


• December 2021 – Flash Coffee, one of the Asia Pacific’s fastest-growing tech-enabled coffee chains, announced its expansion in the South Korean market. This is owing to the rising consumption of coffee among youth with two stores in Seoul.


• November 2021 – Starbucks collaborated with Pickup and Amazon to launch a new store concept in the New York City. The new store integrated digital and physical retail experience with the comfort of a Starbucks café and the convenience of Amazon Go’s Walk Out Shopping experience.

REPORT COVERAGE

An Infographic Representation of Food Service Coffee Market

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The global foodservice coffee market report provides a detailed analysis of the industry and focuses on key aspects such as leading companies, types, and leading end-users of the product. Besides this, the report offers insights into the market trends and highlights key industry developments. In addition to the aforementioned factors, the report encompasses several factors that have contributed to the growth of the market over recent years.

Report Scope & Segmentation