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Minivan Market Size, Share & Industry Analysis, By Propulsion Type (ICE, Hybrid, and Electric), By Application (Commercial Use and Personal Use), and Regional Forecasts, 2024-2032

Last Updated: September 23, 2024 | Format: PDF | Report ID: FBI110339

 

KEY MARKET INSIGHTS

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The global minivan market size was USD 100.38 billion in 2023. The market is projected to grow from USD 107.17 billion in 2024 to USD 129.05 billion in 2032 at a CAGR of 2.4% during the forecast period.


A minivan is a type of vehicle designed for maximum interior space and comfort. It typically features a boxy shape, a high roof, and sliding side doors, making it a popular choice for families and groups. They often come with three rows of seats, accommodating up to seven or eight passengers. They are built on a car-like platform with low-body sliding or hinged rear doors.


The market has witnessed steady growth due to the increasing demand for family-oriented vehicles with spacious interiors and versatile seating arrangements. Key factors driving the market include rising disposable incomes, urbanization, and the popularity of road trips. Asia Pacific, particularly China and Japan, holds a significant market share due to high population density and preference for compact yet spacious and versatile vehicles. North America also shows strong demand, driven by large families and the trend towards multifunctional vehicles. Technical advancements, such as improved fuel efficiency and safety features, further enhance the market’s appeal.


The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the global minivan market, causing disruptions in manufacturing and supply chains. With lockdowns and travel restrictions in place, consumer demand for vehicles, initially plummeted. However, as restrictions eased, there was a surge in demand for private transportation as people sought safer travel options over public transport. This shift led to a gradual recovery in sales, with increased interest in models that offer flexible seating and enhanced safety features. The pandemic also accelerated the adoption of online sales and contactless delivery methods in the automotive industry.


Minivan Market Trends


Increasing Demand for Electric and Hybrid Minivans are Growing Market Trends


The push for environmentally friendly vehicles has led to the development and launch of new electric models. For instance, Hyundai introduced the Staria Kinder, an 11 or 15-seat school minivan powered by Autogas, to align with eco-friendly policies, highlighting a broader shift towards sustainable transportation solutions. Minivans’ versatility and spaciousness continue to make them popular among families and commercial users. The integration of advanced connectivity and entertainment features, along with flexible interior and modular seating arrangements, appeals to consumers looking for both comfort and utility. Major automakers are focusing on these aspects to attract a broader customer base. For example, Toyota’s new Noah and Voxy are popular minivans in Japan, designed with the TNGA (GA-C) platform, offering a roomy cabin and comfortable seating, catering to family needs.


Regional trends also play a significant role. High consumer adoption in countries, such as China and Japan, combined with frequent product launches by key players, contributes to this dominance. The aging global population drives demand for minivans, which are seen as suitable for elderly passengers due to their spacious interiors and accessibility features. The World Health Organization projects a significant increase in the global elderly population, further boosting the market. Overall, the minivan market forecast is poised for steady growth, driven by the integration of new technologies, a focus on sustainability, and evolving consumer preferences.     


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Minivan Market Growth Factors


Increasing Consumer Demand for Electric Vehicles (EVs) is Driving Market Growth


Electric vehicles have gained substantial popularity due to their ecological benefits and cost savings on fuel. This trend is significantly influencing the minivan segment as manufacturers are increasingly integrating electric and hybrid technologies into their offerings. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the number of electric vehicles on the road surged to 10 million by 2020, with a 43% increase from the previous year. This growth trajectory is expected to continue, driven by advancements in battery technology, government incentives, and increasing consumer awareness about environmental issues.


The adoption of electric minivans is particularly notable in regions such as Asia Pacific, where countries such as China and Japan are leading the charge. These nations have substantial government support for EV adoption, including subsidies and incentives for both manufacturers and consumers. For example, in 2022, Toyota introduced new electric minivan models in Japan, reflecting the strong demand and supportive policies in the region. In North America and Europe, the market is also witnessing significant growth. Companies such as Chrysler and Mercedes-Benz are launching new electric minivan models, such as the Chrysler Pacifica EV and the Mercedes EQT. These models cater to the rising consumer preference for environmentally friendly vehicles, especially passenger cars, that do not compromise on space and functionality.


Technological advancements in the EV sector are also playing a crucial role. Improvements in battery life, charging infrastructure, and overall vehicle performance are making electric minivans more appealing to consumers. For instance, the Hyundai Staria FCEV, an upcoming hydrogen fuel cell minivan, promises greater range and efficiency, addressing some of the common concerns associated with electric vehicles.​


In addition to environmental benefits, electric minivans offer economic advantages. Lower operating costs, reduced maintenance expenses, and government incentives make EVs a cost-effective choice in the long run. This economic appeal is particularly strong in markets with high fuel prices and stringent emissions regulations.​


The focus on electric vehicles is also aligned with global efforts to combat climate change and reduce carbon emissions. Governments worldwide are setting ambitious targets to phase out internal combustion engine vehicles and promote zero-emission alternatives. This regulatory push is a significant driver for the adoption of electric minivans, ensuring sustained market growth over the coming years. Thus, the growing demand for electric vehicles, driven by technological advancements, government incentives, and environmental awareness, is a major driving factor for the global minivan market growth. This trend is expected to continue shaping the market dynamics, leading to increased adoption of electric and hybrid models across the globe.


RESTRAINING FACTORS


Growing Popularity and Preference for SUVs and Crossovers is Restraining Market Growth


The shift in consumer preference significantly challenges the market growth. SUVs and crossovers have gained tremendous popularity due to their versatile functionality, stylish design, and perceived safety benefits. These vehicles offer a higher driving position and greater ground clearance, and they often come with all-wheel-drive options, which appeals to consumers looking for vehicles that can handle various terrains and weather conditions. Moreover, the modern design and sporty appeal of SUVs and crossovers attract a broader demographic, including younger buyers and those looking for a vehicle that combines utility with a contemporary lifestyle.


The trend towards SUVs and crossovers is reflected in sales figures and market strategies. For example, in the U.S., SUVs and crossovers accounted for over 50% of total vehicle sales in recent years, significantly outpacing minivan sales. Major automakers are responding to this trend by expanding their SUV and crossover lineups while reducing their focus on minivans. Brands, such as Ford, have shifted their production priorities, phasing out several sedan and minivan models in favor of SUVs and crossovers​. The versatility of SUVs and crossovers has evolved to meet family needs, which were traditionally catered to by minivans. Modern SUVs and crossovers now offer features such as three-row seating, ample passenger and cargo space, advanced safety technologies, and entertainment systems, making them direct competitors to minivans for family-oriented buyers. For instance, the Toyota Highlander and Honda Pilot are popular SUV models that provide family-friendly features while maintaining the stylish and rugged appeal of an SUV​.


The rising preference for SUVs and crossovers poses a significant restraint on the global minivan market. This trend, driven by consumer demand for versatile, stylish, and practical vehicles, challenges the growth and sustainability of the minivan segment, prompting automakers to adapt their strategies accordingly.


Minivan Market Segmentation Analysis


By Propulsion Type Analysis


Established Infrastructure, Affordability, and Widespread Availability Makes ICE Dominate Market


Based on propulsion type, the market is classified into ICE, electric, and hybrid.


ICE vehicles are most preferred for their reliability and relatively lower initial cost compared to electric counterparts. For example, the Chrysler Pacifica and Toyota Sienna offer robust ICE models that remain popular, especially in regions with less developed EV infrastructure. However, the ICE segment faces increasing regulatory pressure and a push towards greener alternatives, impacting its long-term growth prospects. This segment continues to be significant, especially in developing regions, where EV infrastructure is still emerging.​


Electric segment is the fastest-growing segment, driven by technological advancements, government incentives, and increasing environmental consciousness. Companies such as Nissan and Volkswagen are launching electric models to cater to the growing demand. The rise of EV infrastructure and consumer incentives, especially in regions such as Europe and North America, further accelerates this segment’s growth. For example, the Volkswagen ID. Buzz exemplifies the trend towards fully electric minivans, combining zero emissions with modern connectivity features. The market’s future growth heavily relies on continuous improvements in battery technology and expanded charging networks.


The hybrid segment is growing rapidly as consumers seek a balance between traditional ICE benefits and environmental concerns. Hybrid segment include Toyota Sienna Hybrid which offer improved fuel efficiency and reduced emissions, making them attractive in markets with stringent environmental regulations. Hybrid technology provides a transition for consumers who are not ready to commit to electric vehicles fully and want to reduce their carbon footprint. This segment’s growth is supported by advancements in battery technology and increased consumer awareness of environmental issues, positioning hybrids as a crucial part of the market’s future​.


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By Application Analysis


Personal Use Segment Leads the Market Owing to High Usage of Minivans Among Families


Based on application, the market is segmented into commercial use and personal use.


Personal use segment remains a popular and dominant segment among families due to their spacious interiors, versatility, and safety features. Models such as the Honda Odyssey and Kia Carnival are designed with family-friendly features, including advanced safety systems, entertainment options, and flexible seating arrangements. The personal use segment is evolving with the introduction of hybrid and electric models, appealing to environmentally conscious consumers. This segment’s growth is driven by continuous innovation and the adaptation of minivan designs to meet modern lifestyle needs.​


The commercial segment is a significant, fastest-driving segment because of the need for fuel-efficient, reliable, and versatile vehicles for transporting goods and passengers. Minivans such as the Ford Transit Connect cater to businesses requiring ample space and flexibility. The rise of e-commerce and last-mile delivery services has further fueled demand in this segment. Additionally, electric and hybrid models are gaining traction as companies seek to reduce operational costs and comply with environmental regulations. This segment’s growth is supported by technological advancements that enhance vehicle utility and efficiency.​


REGIONAL INSIGHTS


By region, the market is classified into North America, Asia Pacific, Europe, and the Rest of the World.


Asia Pacific Minivan Market Size, 2023 (USD Billion)

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The Asia Pacific region, led by China and Japan, dominates the market. The demand is fueled by rising disposable incomes, urbanization, and increasing family sizes. Hybrid and electric models are also gaining traction, supported by government initiatives to reduce emissions. Major players such as Toyota and Nissan dominate this market, with models designed for both personal and commercial use.


Stringent emission regulations and a strong push towards electric vehicles influence Europe’s market. The region shows the fastest growth, with a preference for hybrid and electric models, supported by government incentives and extensive charging infrastructure. Manufacturers such as Volkswagen and Renault are focusing on electric models, such as the Volkswagen ID. Buzz, to cater to this demand.


In North America and the Rest of the World regions, the market is evolving with a mix of ICE, hybrid, and electric models. The market is characterized by a growing middle class and increasing urbanization. While ICE models remain predominant due to infrastructure challenges, there is a gradual shift towards hybrid and electric models. Governments are starting to implement policies favoring cleaner vehicles, which will support future growth in these regions. Brands such as Tata Motors and Hyundai are expanding their presence to tap into this potential.​


KEY INDUSTRY PLAYERS


Toyota Motor’s Innovative Product Offerings and Extensive Global Presence Places it Amongst Leading Players


Toyota Motor Corporation is the leading market player in the global market, largely due to its strong brand reputation, innovative product offerings, and extensive global presence. Toyota’s success in the minivan segment is exemplified by models such as the Toyota Sienna, which has been a top seller for years due to its reliability, advanced safety features, and family-friendly design. The latest generation of the Sienna, available as a hybrid, further solidifies Toyota’s market leadership by addressing growing consumer demand for more fuel-efficient and environmentally friendly vehicles.


Toyota’s commitment to continuous innovation, including the incorporation of advanced technologies, such as the Toyota Safety Sense suite and hybrid powertrains, sets it apart in the competitive minivan market share. Toyota’s robust global distribution network ensures that its minivans are accessible to a broad customer base across different regions. This widespread availability, coupled with strong after-sales service and a reputation for quality and durability, makes Toyota a preferred choice among consumers.


Honda Motor Company is also among the leading players in the market, driven by the popularity of its Honda Odyssey model. Honda’s focus is on providing a high-quality driving experience with features such as the CabinWatch and CabinTalk systems, which improve communication and monitoring within the vehicle.


LIST OF TOP MINIVAN COMPANIES:



KEY INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENTS:



  • June 2024: Hyundai announced the launch of the EV model of the Staria minivan in 2026. The carmaker will start mass production of Staria EVs in Europe during the first half of 2026 and sell the vehicles in the European market and also in Asia-Pacific countries such as Australia and Thailand. The company targets 15,000 to 20,000 units of the EV’s global sales per year.

  • April 2024: Zeekr announced the launch of its next electric minivan in China. It uses a new architecture and offers a highly variable interior. The mix is ​​the first Zeekr model to be based on the new “Sustainable Experience Architecture” (SEA-M) platform. It will have a single-engine rear-wheel drive layout with 310 kW (421 hp), with a top speed of 180 km/h. and NCM battery (lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide)

  • February 2024: Volvo launched its first-ever minivan EM90. This is an electric (“E”) minivan. It is an advanced Volvo EM90, including smart storage options, opening up a spacious cabin with plenty of head and leg room, a 200 kW electric motor, and a 116 kW battery, giving a 458-mile range.

  • May 2023: Japanese automakers Daihatsu, Suzuki, and Toyota jointly unveiled a single-platform battery-electric mini-commercial van prototype at the Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association (JAMA). This launch took place during an exhibition event held in conjunction with the Group of Seven (G7) summit, where the general plan for the Japanese automobile industry’s initiatives to achieve carbon neutrality was presented.

  • April 2023: Mitsubishi Motors launched the New Delica Mini. It features SUV-like styling and a powerful, driving, functional cabin that is convenient for outdoor recreation and everyday use. The spacious interior room allows for comfsharefort, even in the rear seats.


REPORT COVERAGE


The minivan market report provides a detailed market analysis focusing on crucial aspects such as leading companies, service types, and product applications. Besides this, it offers insights into the market trends and highlights key industry developments. In addition to the factors mentioned above, it encompasses several factors contributing to the market’s growth over recent years.


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Report Scope & Segmentation
















































ATTRIBUTE



DETAILS



Study Period



2019-2032



Base Year



2023



Estimated Year



2024



Forecast Period



2024-2032



Historical Period



2019-2022



Growth Rate



CAGR of 2.4% from 2024-2032



Unit



Value (USD Billion) & Volume (Thousand Units)



Segmentation



By Propulsion Type



  • ICE

  • Hybrid

  • Electric



By Application



  • Commercial Use

  • Personal Use



By Geography



  • North America (By Propulsion Type and By Application)

    • U.S. (By Propulsion Type)

    • Canada (By Propulsion Type)

    • Mexico (By Propulsion Type)



  • Europe (By Propulsion Type and By Application )

    • U.K. (By Propulsion Type)

    • Germany (By Propulsion Type)

    • France (By Propulsion Type)

    • Rest of Europe (By Propulsion Type)



  • Asia Pacific (By Propulsion Type and By Application )

    • China (By Propulsion Type)

    • Japan (By Propulsion Type)

    • India (By Propulsion Type)

    • South Korea (By Propulsion Type)

    • Rest Of Asia Pacific ( By Propulsion Type)



  • Rest of the World (By Propulsion Type and By Application )






Frequently Asked Questions

Fortune Business Insights says that the global market size was USD 100.38 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to USD 129.05 billion in 2032.

In 2023, the Asia Pacific stood at USD 54.06 billion.

The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 2.4% and will exhibit steady growth during the forecast period.

The propulsion type segment is the leading segment in this market.

Increasing consumer demand for advanced convenience and safety features enhancing passenger experience are expected to drive market growth.

Aisin Seiki Co., Ltd. is the leading player in the global market.

Asia Pacific dominated the market share in 2023.

Europe is the key matured market in the global market.

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